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2024-12-14 12:34:21

As usual, look at the data first. The number of individual stocks in the two cities rose by 3,853, while the number of individual stocks fell by 1,421. Today, it is mainly due to the general increase of individual stocks, and the performance of blue-chip white horses is relatively weak. Looking at the time-sharing handicap, the differences between the second line of Huang and Bai have been expanding since the opening, until the closing reached the peak of the day. Simply put, the day is dominated by hot money, and the institutions are still waiting to see.Emotionally, there are 145 stocks with daily limit, 10 stocks with daily limit and 105 stocks with a drop of more than 5%. The data shows that the number of stocks with daily limit has reached a recent high, but the risk of mid-ticket ebb tide has also intensified, and the high-bid stocks have obviously differentiated. It is time to test the relay funds again tomorrow, so be careful of the new round of ebb tide risk.Finally, the small high point is established, and the short-term needs consolidation and repair. It was suggested yesterday that there will be a short-term small high point here, but the back is mainly the consolidation and repair of Xiaoyin Xiaoyang. Pay attention to two pressure levels, one is 3457 points, which is 1/2 of the false yinxian line on Tuesday; Second, the closing price cannot stand at 3489.78 points, which will form a daily structure.


To sum up, before the short-term market broke through 3494.87 points and reached a new high, it was basically under the suppression of small highs, so don't expect a big rise before that, be careful that the higher the expectation, the greater the disappointment! In response, we should look at the long-term and short-term, continue to test the market, and continue to wait for the situation to become more clear. Tomorrow, the probability of blindly guessing black Thursday is high, so as to prevent the main force from luring more plots!First of all, under the contraction, large funds remained inactive, and the net outflow of domestic institutions was 28.2 billion. Today, not only is the market shrinking, but mainstream broad-based ETFs are also shrinking and repairing. In particular, even if the CSI 1000ETF was released in late trading, the volume of the whole day can be halved compared with the previous trading day. Yesterday's heavy shipment was falsified today, so today's lure depends on tomorrow's test.As for consumption and robots, the two main lines that have emerged recently, robots are playing with weak-to-strong repairs every day, but these two days have obviously stagnated, and the daily line has seriously deviated; Today's anti-packaging of consumption is still relatively strong, and there are also quantities to cooperate, but there are large-scale deviations in 60, 90 and 120 minutes. It is difficult to digest in the short term, and once the structure is formed, it is estimated that the adjustment will not be far off.


In terms of the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's shrinkage repair is a bit unhealthy. Although the two main lines of consumption and robots are still leading the gains, both small tickets and low-priced stocks are leading the gains. On the contrary, the trend leaders are a little stuck, and the high-level differences are still quite big. Judging from the weak performance of shrinkage today, it is difficult to continue to rise tomorrow, so beware of the trend of high and low.It is estimated that the support for the next 5 days is easy to fall. Today's support significance has been reflected, but even if the index is sideways at a high level, the 5-day line will passively fall, so the reference significance is not great. The next support level to pay attention to is the short-term trend line, and the other is the triangular upper rail line support. When you step back here, basically this wave of strong dishwashing should be over.Emotionally, there are 145 stocks with daily limit, 10 stocks with daily limit and 105 stocks with a drop of more than 5%. The data shows that the number of stocks with daily limit has reached a recent high, but the risk of mid-ticket ebb tide has also intensified, and the high-bid stocks have obviously differentiated. It is time to test the relay funds again tomorrow, so be careful of the new round of ebb tide risk.

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